Enter Portfolio Details

Portfolio Weights

%
%
Auto-calculated (100% - Weight 1)

Asset Volatilities

%
%

Correlation

Range: -1.0 to +1.0
Ryan O'Connell, CFA
Calculator by Ryan O'Connell, CFA

Portfolio Results

Portfolio Volatility (σₚ) 14.20 %
Portfolio Variance (σₚ²) 0.0202
Weighted Avg Volatility 18.00%
Diversification Benefit +3.80% (21.1% reduction)
Good

Solid diversification - meaningful risk reduction

Formula Breakdown

σₚ² = w₁²σ₁² + w₂²σ₂² + 2w₁w₂ρσ₁σ₂

Understanding the Results

Variance vs Volatility

Variance (σ²) is the squared measure of risk. Volatility (σ) is the square root of variance and is expressed in percentage terms, making it easier to interpret.

Diversification Benefit

The difference between weighted average volatility and actual portfolio volatility. Lower correlation = greater benefit.

Diversification Benefit Ratings

Risk Reduction Rating Interpretation
40%+ Excellent Outstanding diversification
25-40% Good Meaningful risk reduction
10-25% Moderate Noticeable improvement
0-10% Minimal Limited benefit
< 0% No Benefit Consider different assets

Understanding Portfolio Variance

What is Portfolio Variance?

Portfolio variance (σₚ²) measures how portfolio returns disperse around the expected return. Unlike individual asset variance, portfolio variance accounts for:

  • Individual asset volatilities (σ₁ and σ₂)
  • Portfolio weights (how much you allocate to each asset)
  • Correlation (how the assets move together)

Portfolio volatility (σₚ) is simply the square root of variance, expressed in the same units as returns (percentage).

Key Insight: When correlation (ρ) is less than +1, the portfolio's volatility is less than the weighted average of the individual volatilities. This "free lunch" is the foundation of modern portfolio theory.

The Power of Diversification

Consider two assets, each with 20% volatility, held in equal weights (50/50):

  • If ρ = +1.0: Portfolio volatility = 20% (no diversification benefit)
  • If ρ = +0.5: Portfolio volatility ≈ 17.3% (moderate benefit)
  • If ρ = 0.0: Portfolio volatility ≈ 14.1% (significant benefit)
  • If ρ = -0.5: Portfolio volatility ≈ 10% (substantial benefit)
  • If ρ = -1.0: Portfolio volatility = 0% (perfect hedge)

The Formula Explained

The two-asset portfolio variance formula has three components:

  • w₁²σ₁² - Contribution from Asset 1's variance
  • w₂²σ₂² - Contribution from Asset 2's variance
  • 2w₁w₂ρσ₁σ₂ - The "interaction" term (covariance contribution)

When ρ is positive, the interaction term adds to variance. When ρ is negative, it subtracts - hence the diversification benefit.

Important Limitation: This formula assumes returns are normally distributed and that correlation is constant over time. In reality, correlations often increase during market crises, reducing diversification benefits when you need them most.

Extending to More Assets

For portfolios with more than two assets, the formula becomes a matrix calculation. Each pair of assets contributes a covariance term. With N assets, there are N variance terms and N(N-1)/2 unique covariance terms.

Frequently Asked Questions

Portfolio variance measures the dispersion of portfolio returns around the expected return. It accounts for individual asset volatilities, their weights in the portfolio, and the correlation between assets. Lower variance indicates more stable returns.

Two-asset portfolio variance is calculated as: σₚ² = w₁²σ₁² + w₂²σ₂² + 2w₁w₂ρσ₁σ₂, where w₁ and w₂ are the weights, σ₁ and σ₂ are the standard deviations, and ρ is the correlation between assets.

Portfolio variance (σ²) is the squared measure of risk, while volatility (σ) is the square root of variance. Volatility is expressed in the same units as returns (percentage), making it easier to interpret. Volatility equals the square root of variance.

Lower correlation between assets reduces portfolio variance. With correlation of +1, there is no diversification benefit. With correlation of -1, maximum risk reduction is possible. Most real-world assets have positive but imperfect correlation, providing some diversification benefit.

Diversification benefit is the reduction in portfolio risk achieved by combining assets that are not perfectly correlated. It is measured as the difference between the weighted average of individual volatilities and the actual portfolio volatility.

Portfolio weights must sum to 100% (or 1.0) because they represent the proportion of total capital allocated to each asset. This constraint ensures all capital is invested and the portfolio is fully defined. In this calculator, the second weight is automatically calculated as 100% minus the first weight.
Disclaimer

This calculator is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Portfolio variance calculations assume normal distribution of returns and constant correlation, which may not hold in practice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.