Kelly Criterion Calculator Excel Template

What's Included

  • Interactive financial model with live Excel formulas
  • All formulas visible and fully editable
  • Professional formatting with color-coded inputs & outputs
  • Formula reference sheet with variable definitions
  • Step-by-step instructions sheet
  • Compatible with Microsoft Excel 2016 and later

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Price range: $0.00 through $20.00

Professional Kelly Criterion Excel template for optimal bet sizing and portfolio allocation. Supports gambling and investment modes.

Kelly Criterion Calculator Excel Template

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Online Calculator vs Excel Template

Feature Online Excel
Instant use โ€” no download โ€”
Works offline โ€”
Customize formulas & layout โ€”
Save & share with colleagues โ€”
Integrate into your own models โ€”
Print-ready formatting โ€”

About This Template

Calculate your mathematically optimal bet size or portfolio allocation with this professional Kelly Criterion Excel template. Whether you're sizing sports bets, poker stakes, or investment positions, this spreadsheet gives you the exact Kelly fraction to maximize long-term wealth growth.

What You Can Calculate

This template computes five key outputs from your inputs:

  • Full Kelly Fraction - The mathematically optimal percentage of your bankroll to wager or invest
  • Half Kelly & Quarter Kelly - Conservative alternatives that reduce volatility while preserving most expected growth
  • Dollar Amount - Your optimal stake size based on your total bankroll
  • Expected Growth Rate - The expected log-growth per bet (discrete) or excess growth over cash (continuous)
  • Kelly Classification - Qualitative assessment: No Edge, Conservative, Moderate, Aggressive, or Leveraged

Required Inputs

The template supports two modes via a dropdown selector:

  • Discrete Mode (Gambling): Win Probability (1-99%) and Win/Loss Ratio (odds)
  • Continuous Mode (Investments): Expected Return, Risk-Free Rate, and Volatility
  • Both modes: Bankroll/Portfolio size for dollar calculations

Methodology

The template implements the classic Kelly Criterion formulas: f* = p - q/b for discrete bets and f* = (ฮผ - r) / ฯƒยฒ for continuous investments. All formulas are visible and editable so you can verify the math or extend the model.

Assumptions & Limitations

  • True probabilities and expected returns are known with certainty
  • Independent trials with constant parameters
  • Fractional betting allowed, no transaction costs
  • All winnings are reinvested

Frequently Asked Questions

Yes. The template is fully unlocked so you can duplicate the Calculator sheet to model multiple scenarios side-by-side, or extend the formulas to build a multi-asset Kelly portfolio optimizer. All formulas are visible and editable.

Yes. Use the Mode dropdown to switch between Discrete (binary-outcome bets like sports or poker) and Continuous (log-normal investment returns). Each mode uses the appropriate Kelly formula and displays relevant inputs.

A fully interactive financial model with live Excel formulas, an Instructions sheet with usage guide, and a Formula Reference sheet with variable definitions and model assumptions. All formulas are visible and editable.

Microsoft Excel 2016 or later. The template uses standard Excel formulas only โ€” no macros, VBA, or add-ins required.

Yes. All cells are fully editable. You can modify any formula, add your own calculations, change formatting, or integrate the model into your existing spreadsheets.

The online calculator runs in your browser for quick calculations. This Excel template gives you a portable, offline financial model you can customize, save, share with colleagues, and integrate into your own analysis.

This template is provided for educational and personal use. You may use it in your own professional analysis and presentations. Redistribution or resale of the template itself is not permitted.

You can re-download the latest version from your account or by requesting a new download link. Free downloads are limited to 5 per email address per month.